Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 67.710308 76.497657 85.523350 95.454467 106.043451 116.966407 129.055724
2025-03-30 55.124990 67.777322 81.389262 96.990391 114.250764 132.646815 153.621487
2025-04-06 46.310106 60.894830 77.156310 96.359288 118.160831 141.913129 169.522830
2025-04-13 38.598263 54.211773 72.225192 94.087252 119.481368 147.674158 180.978799
2025-04-20 35.416911 52.397123 72.509968 97.421730 126.839496 159.936092 199.472060
2025-04-27 32.168424 50.111837 71.917362 99.449442 132.459485 170.046269 215.393883
2025-05-04 28.177157 46.487274 69.368289 98.850082 134.756093 176.140274 226.565947
2025-05-11 24.584055 43.033793 66.747888 97.914506 136.444320 181.361146 236.593809
2025-05-18 22.120360 40.868029 65.577951 98.614875 139.977210 188.655592 248.965431
2025-05-25 19.477427 38.200961 63.559935 98.081915 141.871477 193.905251 258.860757
2025-06-01 17.450074 36.230238 62.319398 98.420402 144.746636 200.260656 270.015040
2025-06-08 15.180242 33.672772 60.112560 97.363308 145.767221 204.294300 278.343201
2025-06-15 13.904488 32.568872 59.879607 98.903245 150.101070 212.429643 291.697744
2025-06-22 12.816836 31.665568 59.865817 100.695661 154.740712 220.946019 305.540435
2025-06-29 11.159550 29.634171 58.098464 100.016062 156.127319 225.400431 314.431332
2025-07-06 9.276020 26.973834 55.236051 97.697878 155.280008 227.002227 319.788416
2025-07-13 8.932704 27.071870 56.503473 101.106802 161.928050 237.968350 336.611472
2025-07-20 8.316162 26.587120 56.837674 103.179884 166.804458 246.714540 350.725681
2025-07-27 7.191657 24.973794 55.325687 102.567170 168.070075 250.881684 359.185834
2025-08-03 6.121865 23.310931 53.630299 101.610716 168.816434 254.349842 366.753866
2025-08-10 5.459426 22.417129 53.117766 102.326723 171.785635 260.631030 377.807922
2025-08-17 4.656756 21.076644 51.786926 101.781868 173.002960 264.645484 386.024367
2025-08-24 4.072384 20.146577 51.085694 102.127913 175.408078 270.169811 396.122374